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Project Syndicate

The World's Priciest Stock Market
Project Syndicate
It is impossible to pin down the full cause of the high price of the US stock market. That alone should remind all investors of the importance of diversification, and that the overall US stock market should not be given too much weight in a portfolio ...

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Who Says This Stock Market Is Overpriced?
The S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index is above its previous peak, but not in real terms. It has been going up pretty strongly since 2012. The enthusiasm doesn't seem the same as the enthusiasm around the real estate boom in 2004. I did surveys of home ...

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Financial Post

Economic guru Robert Shiller on Canadian housing, distracted investors and a new ETF bearing his name
Financial Post
Yale University professor Robert Shiller's accomplishments in the fields of investing and economics span from a Nobel Prize for empirical analysis of asset prices and the best-selling book Irrational Exuberance, to helping establish the Case-Shiller ...

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Opinion: The US stock market looks like it did before most of the previous 13 bear markets
High company earnings growth doesn't reduce the likelihood of a bear market. In fact, peak months before past bear markets also tended to show high real earnings growth. By. RobertJ. Shilller. Columnist. NEW HAVEN, Conn. (Project Syndicate) — The U.S ...

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Home-building and real estate ETFs rise after Case-Shiller data
Exchange-traded funds tied to the real estate and home-building sectors rose on Tuesday, as data showed that the price of houses in the U.S. stayed near all-time highs in October. According to the S&P Case-Shiller index, home prices rose 0.6% in ...

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David Collum's 2017 Year In Review
The legendary Howard Marks, using non-GAAP earnings (with a 25 percent fictional fudge factor)56 to calculate trailing P/E ratios, sees a 40 percent regression to the mean. The Case-Shiller weighted P/E ratio—far superior to the non-GAAP alternatives ...

Toll Brothers Gets Hammered On Disappointing Earnings
Seeking Alpha
Builder confidence rose two points to 70 in November. A reading above 50 is positive, and this current reading is just below the high of July 2005, when homebuilder stocks peaked, then crashed. Housing starts may have surged in October, but the ...

Gold gives up early gains to end lower as dollar pares decline
Gold futures proved unable to hang on to early gains, ending with a small loss as the dollar pared its decline. Gold initially found haven-related support as global equities and Treasurys saw renewed selling pressure, analysts said. But while the U.S ...


America, the World's Priciest Stock Market
Since 1881, the correlation of the past decade's real earnings growth with the P/E ratio is a positive 0.32. But there is zero correlation between the CAPE ratio and the next 10 years' real earnings growth. And real earnings growth per share for the S ...

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Nasdaq on track for best daily point rise in more than 2 years as tech sector powers record rally
The Nasdaq Composite Index was on pace to book its best single-session point gains in more than 2 years on Friday as tech shares soared. The Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.00% was surging 145 points, or 2.2%, toward a fresh all-time high closing at 6 ...

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